Efficiently Using Families of Diverse Models to Better Inform Decision Makers in Objective and Repeatable Ways

Abstract

The Marine Corps seeks to integrate analytical processes that develop actionable insights for decision makers across its enterprise. One supporting goal in this endeavor is to develop a methodology for implementing a wargame-analytic continuum by formally linking outcomes of wargames with more traditional constructive closed-form simulations. The primary research objective is to explore methods and tools that provide the greatest utility when integrating wargames with constructive simulations. As part of this, we will develop, assess, and document a translation/transformation process used to convert a human-in-the-loop wargaming activity into the analytic domain, highlighting judgment calls and issues, and how they were resolved. The research will be done in support of one or more current Marine Corps analysis issues. The SEED Center will focus on constructive simulations that augment other analyses by other organizations. Candidate analysis "partners" include OAD, MCWL, and NPS. Wargaming activities may include NPS, MCWL, and others. MCWL live-fire events may also be leveraged or informed. In addition to regular reviews, the research deliverables will include: (1) A final brief and/or technical report and student theses (if applicable); (2) All findings, methods, and data used in the study, as well as guidance on how the Marines can most efficiently acquire and organically use wargames within an analytic continuum; and (3) Appropriate conference or journal papers related to this research.