ENLISTING AI IN COURSE OF ACTION ANALYSIS AS APPLIED TO NAVAL FREEDOM OF NAVIGATION OPERATIONS

Abstract

Navy Planning Process (NPP) Course of Action (COA) analysis requires time and subject matter experts (SMEs) to function properly. Independent steamers (lone destroyers) can soon find themselves lacking time or more than 1–2 SMEs or both. Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques implemented in real-time strategy (RTS) wargames can be applied to military wargaming to aid military decision-makers’ COA analysis. Using a deep-Q network (DQN) and the ATLATL wargaming framework, I was able to train AI agents that could operate as the opposing force (OPFOR) commander at both satisfactory and near-optimal levels of performance, after less than 24 hours of training or 500000–learning steps. I also show that under 6 hours or 150000–learning steps does not result in a satisfactory AI admiral capable of playing the role as the OPFOR commander in a similarly sized freedom of navigation operation (FONOP) scenario. Applying these AI techniques can save both time onboard and time for reachback personnel. Training AI admirals as quality OPFOR commanders can enhance the NPP for the entire Navy without adding additional strain and without creating analysis paralysis. The meaningful insights and localized flashpoints revealed through hundreds of thousands of constructive operations and experienced by the crew in live simulation or simulation replays will lead to real world, combat-ready naval forces capable of deterring aggression and maintaining freedom of the seas.