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dc.contributor.advisorMarshall, Kneale T.
dc.contributor.authorShipman, Brian K
dc.date.accessioned2012-08-09T19:20:33Z
dc.date.available2012-08-09T19:20:33Z
dc.date.issued1997-03
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10945/8392
dc.description.abstractThis thesis develops a model for the Naval Postgraduate School (NPS) to forecast future tenure-track faculty size and distribution. It enables decision makers to analyze the effects of tenure and retirement policies as well as determine recruitment levels to achieve and maintain a desired number of faculty members. The model estimates faculty retention characteristics, or continuation rates based upon the length of federal service (LFS) associated with historic loss data. These continuation rates are applied to a cross- sectional faculty profile to predict faculty legacies, i.e. the number of faculty who will continue service at NPS. Results show that faculty levels can be predicted with relative certainty out to a two year horizon. Additionally, the results show how salary increases in the early 1990's induced a delay in faculty retirements. We also present an embellishment to the model which incorporates age at loss as well as LFS to forecast only retirements. The forecasts from this model are not as conclusive as those obtained from the originalen_US
dc.description.urihttp://archive.org/details/facultyforecastn109458392
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisherMonterey, California. Naval Postgraduate Schoolen_US
dc.titleFaculty forecast and planning model for the Naval Postgraduate Schoolen_US
dc.contributor.secondreaderConner, George W.
dc.contributor.departmentOperations Research
dc.subject.authorForecastingen_US
dc.subject.authorManpower Modelingen_US
dc.subject.authorFaculty Planningen_US
dc.subject.authorRenewal Processen_US
dc.subject.authorOperations Researchen_US
dc.description.serviceLieutenant, United States Navyen_US
etd.thesisdegree.levelMastersen_US
etd.thesisdegree.levelM.S. in Operations Researchen_US
etd.thesisdegree.disciplineOperations Researchen_US
etd.thesisdegree.grantorNaval Postgraduate Schoolen_US
dc.description.distributionstatementApproved for public release; distribution is unlimited.


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