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dc.contributor.advisorButtrey, Samuel E.
dc.contributor.authorKabalar, Hakan
dc.dateJune 2003
dc.date.accessioned2012-03-14T17:30:07Z
dc.date.available2012-03-14T17:30:07Z
dc.date.issued2003-06
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10945/966
dc.description.abstractThe objective of this thesis is to estimate and explain the effects of graduate education and other factors on promotion to the rank of Lieutenant Colonel (O-5) in the US Army. Our focus was primarily on determining whether graduate education provides officers with higher promotion probabilities. Besides graduate education, data that were analyzed include basic demographic traits, the officers' prior enlisted status, and their commissioning source information. The data used in this study were taken from the Active Duty Military Master File for fiscal years 1981 through 2001. This study develops multivariate logit regression and classification tree models to examine and explore the structure of the data sets. Both the regression models and the classification trees yielded positive results for the effect of graduate education on promotion. According to the regression model results, the odds ratio associated with graduate education is between 1.79 and 2.25. Military Academy and ROTC/Scholarship graduates have higher promotion probabilities than those from other sources, and married officers have higher rates than single officers. Additionally, age has a negative effect on promotion; that is, promotion probability decreases with age. Prior enlisted status, number of dependents, gender, race, and DOD primary occupation code do not seem to have statistically significant effects on promotion.en_US
dc.description.urihttp://archive.org/details/multivariatenaly10945966
dc.format.extentxiv, 57 p. : ill.en_US
dc.publisherMonterey, California. Naval Postgraduate Schoolen_US
dc.rightsCopyright is reserved by the copyright owneren_US
dc.subject.lcshSoldiersen_US
dc.subject.lcshEducation, Non-militaryen_US
dc.subject.lcshUnited Statesen_US
dc.titleMultivariate analysis of the effect of graduate education on promotion to Army Lieutenant Colonelen_US
dc.typeThesisen_US
dc.contributor.secondreaderKoyak, Robert A.
dc.contributor.departmentOperations Research (OR)
dc.subject.authorGraduate educationen_US
dc.subject.authorPromotionen_US
dc.subject.authorLogistic regressionen_US
dc.subject.authorClassification treeen_US
dc.description.serviceFirst Lieutenant, Turkish Armyen_US
etd.thesisdegree.nameM.S. in Operations Researchen_US
etd.thesisdegree.levelMastersen_US
etd.thesisdegree.disciplineOperations Researchen_US
etd.thesisdegree.grantorNaval Postgraduate Schoolen_US
etd.verifiednoen_US
dc.description.distributionstatementApproved for public release; distribution is unlimited.


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