System Dynamics Modeling for Improved Knowledge Value Assessment: A Proof of Concept Study
Loading...
Authors
Ford, David N.
Housel, Thomas J.
Dillard, John T.
Subjects
Knowledge Valuation Analysis (KVA)
DoD acquisition programs, Alternative Diversity, Analysis of Alternatives (AoA), Knowledge Value Added (KVA), Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAV), alternative selection
DoD acquisition programs, Alternative Diversity, Analysis of Alternatives (AoA), Knowledge Value Added (KVA), Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAV), alternative selection
Advisors
Date of Issue
2010-08-09
Date
09-Aug-10
Publisher
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
Language
Abstract
Effective and efficient DoD acquisition programs require the analysis of a
wide range of materiel alternatives. Diversity among alternatives, difficulties in
selecting metrics and measuring performance, and other factors make the Analysis
of Alternatives (AoA) difficult. The benefits of alternatives should be included in the
AoA, but cost estimates dominate most AoA processes. Incorporating benefits into
AoA is particularly difficult because of the intangible nature of many important
benefits. The current work addresses the need to improve the use of benefits in AoA
by building a system dynamics model of a military operation and integrating it with
the Knowledge Value Added (KVA) methodology. The synergies may be able to
significantly improve the accuracy of KVA estimates in the AoA process. A notional
mobile weapon system was modeled and calibrated to reflect four weaponized
Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAV). Modeling a hypothetical AoA for upgrading one of
the UAV indicated that there were potentially significant synergies that could
increase the number of alternatives that could be analyzed, establishing common
units of benefit estimates for an AoA, improved reliability of an AoA, and improved
justification of AoA results. These can improve alternative selection, thereby
improving final materiel effectiveness, thereby improving the DoD acquisition
processes.
Type
Technical Report
Description
Sponsored Report (for Acquisition Research Program)
Series/Report No
Department
Acquisition Management
NPS Faculty
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
NPS-AM-10-162
Sponsors
Naval Postgraduate School Acquisition Research Program
Funder
Format
Citation
Distribution Statement
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.