Series:
DRMI Working Papers

Description
ID

Publication Search Results

Now showing 1 - 10 of 49
  • Publication
    Assessment of Public Health Infrastructure to Determine Public Health Preparedness
    (Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School., 2006) Santiago, Denise; Richter, Anke; Defense Resources Management Institute (DRMI); Business & Public Policy (GSBPP); Graduate School of Business & Public Policy (GSBPP); Business & Public Policy (GSBPP)
  • Publication
    The Trouble With Risk Matrices
    (Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School., 2011) Wall, Kent D.; Defense Resources Management Institute (DRMI); Business & Public Policy (GSBPP); Graduate School of Business & Public Policy (GSBPP); Defense Resources Management Institute; Business & Public Policy (GSBPP); Defense Resources Management Institute
  • Publication
    Assessing the Impact of Global Price Interdependencies in a Global Pricing Strategy
    (Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School., 2005) Richter, Anke; Defense Resources Management Institute (DRMI); Business & Public Policy (GSBPP); Graduate School of Business & Public Policy (GSBPP); Business & Public Policy (GSBPP)
  • Publication
    Testing for Stationarity Using Covariates: An Application to Purchasing Power Parity

    (Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School., 2009) Amara, Jomana; Defense Resources Management Institute (DRMI); Business & Public Policy (GSBPP); Graduate School of Business & Public Policy (GSBPP); Defense Resources Management Institute; Business & Public Policy (GSBPP); Defense Resources Management Institute
    We examine the evidence for Purchasing Power Parity using post Bretton Woods exchange rate data for twenty industrialized countries. The two tests we use are covariate tests for stationarity where the null hypothesis of stationarity is tested against the unit root alternative. These tests are generalizations of existing univariate stationarity tests and improve the power of univariate tests by utilizing information contained in related stationary covariates. We conclude that PPP holds for 17 out of the 20 countries tested.
  • Publication
    Public Evacuation Decisions and Hurricane Track Uncertainty
    (Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School., 2006) Regnier, Eva; Defense Resources Management Institute (DRMI); Business & Public Policy (GSBPP); Graduate School of Business & Public Policy (GSBPP); Defense Resources Management Institute; Business & Public Policy (GSBPP); Defense Resources Management Institute
  • Publication
    Human Capital, Natural Resource Scarcity and the Rwandan Genocide
    (Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School., 2006) McNab, Robert M.; Mohamed, Abdul Latif; Defense Resources Management Institute (DRMI); Business & Public Policy (GSBPP); Graduate School of Business & Public Policy (GSBPP); Defense Resources Management Institute; Business & Public Policy (GSBPP); Defense Resources Management Institute
  • Publication
    The Long Term Effects of an Aging Fleet on Operational Availability and Cost: Evidence from the U.S. Coast Guard
    (Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School., 2016) Lavin, Christopher; McNab, Robert; Sullivan, Ryan; Defense Resources Management Institute (DRMI); Business & Public Policy (GSBPP); Graduate School of Business & Public Policy (GSBPP); Defense Resources Management Institute; Business & Public Policy (GSBPP); Defense Resources Management Institute
  • Publication
    Decentralization and the Composition of Public Expenditures

    (Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School., 2012) Arze del Granado, F. Javier; Martinez-Vazquez, Jorge; McNab, Robert M.; Defense Resources Management Institute (DRMI); Business & Public Policy (GSBPP); Graduate School of Business & Public Policy (GSBPP); Defense Resources Management Institute; Business & Public Policy (GSBPP); Defense Resources Management Institute
  • Publication
    Are Errors in Official U.S. Budget Receipts Forecasts Just Noise?
    (Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School., 2005) McNab, Robert M.; Rider, Mark; Wall, Kent D.; Defense Resources Management Institute (DRMI); Business & Public Policy (GSBPP); Graduate School of Business & Public Policy (GSBPP); Business & Public Policy (GSBPP); Defense Resources Management Institute
  • Publication
    Efficient probability sequences
    (Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School., 2014-08-18) Regnier, Eva; Defense Resources Management Institute (DRMI); Business & Public Policy (GSBPP); Graduate School of Business & Public Policy (GSBPP); Defense Resources Management Institute; Business & Public Policy (GSBPP); Defense Resources Management Institute
    A probability sequence is an ordered set of probability forecasts for the same event. Although single-period probabilistic forecasts and methods for evaluating them have been extensively analyzed, we are not aware of any prior work on evaluating probability sequences. This paper proposes an efficiency condition for probability sequences and shows properties of efficiency forecasting systems, including memorylessness and increasing discrimination. These results suggest tests for efficiency and remedial interventions for inefficient systems.