Ensuring resiliency of the milk and dairy industry in California
Alexander, Robert G.
Alderson, David L.
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We model the milk and dairy industry in California focusing on the production, processing, and distribution of bulk milk at the county level. We analyze the sensitivity of this industry when faced with worst-case disruption, where a "worst-case" disruption corresponds to the greatest shortage of milk supply throughout California. The major highways in California are used to connect all of the counties and illustrate where the bulk milk is moving. We utilize Attacker-Defender (AD) modeling techniques to determine where worst-case disruptions occur. This reveals vulnerabilities within the milk and dairy industry. We examine three specific scenarios: (1) a quarantine of each county due to a Foot and Mouth Disease (FMD) outbreak or any other event that would cause the complete stoppage of production, processing, and movement of milk in a county over a seven day period, (2) 1 to 15 attacks on the milk and dairy industry in a 45 day time period, and (3) the isolation of Northern and Southern California over a seven day time period that could be caused by a natural disaster.
RightsThis publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.
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