The impact of the Arab decision-makers on the oil market.
Abstract
This thesis examines the political arena of the oil
industry, and the decision-makers of the Arab oil countries.
The two primary areas of study are OPEC and the various
political relationships, both inter-Arab and Arab-Western.
The oil weapon strategies are analyzed as a form of deterrence.
The main hypothesis is that these countries have three
options available in which to utilize their oil weapon:
embargo; production slow down; and price fixing and raising.
The potential of each option is analyzed in detail based on
the attitudes, goals, reactions and various oil market roles
of the countries involved. The conclusion reached is that,
with only those three options available, the oil weapon is
becoming less of a credible deterrent. Only total embargo
currently remains as a plausible option. Both sides are
beginning to realize that an equilibrium state of supply and
demand is the only realistic alternative to ensure that all
parties derive maximum benefit from an expendable resource.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.Collections
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