Statistical analysis of Japanese defense policy in transition : 1983 - 1993
Terasawa, Katsuaki L.
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This thesis examines Japanese defense policy during the transition period. It focuses on Japanese defense expenditures as a medium for comparison between Japanese and other countries' defense policies. It also selects the U.S. and the Soviet Union as influential allies and adversaries, respectively, of Japan. Using historical data of the three countries' defense expenditures, model simulations are performed. The model adopted here is the Terasawa and Gates Commitment-Based Model of Defense Allies and Adversaries. The examination reveals that Japanese defense expenditures in 1983-1993 may have been based on reasons other than selective security considerations related to the U.S. and the Soviet Union. It is very clear that the U.S. and the Soviet Union impacted each other. It is concluded that Japanese defense policy, viewed from the perspective of defense expenditures, is difficult to explain in terms of relative power-politics during the transition period.
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