Strategies for Addressing Uncertain Markets and Uncertain Technologies
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Author
Rouse, William
Verma, Dinesh
Lucero, D. Scott
Hanawalt, Edward
Date
2021-05-10Metadata
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Engineering involves designing solutions to meet the needs of markets or missions. Organizations would like to have the flexibility and agility to address both uncertain needs and uncertain technologies for meeting these needs. This article presents and illustrates a decision framework that enables flexibility and agility and provides guidance on when to pursue optimal, highly integrated solutions. We consider how uncertainties arise, contrasting the automotive and defense domains. We propose an approach to managing uncertainties. We consider how to represent alternative solutions and project the value of each alternative, including how market or mission requirements can be translated into system requirements. Possible use cases for our framework are discussed. A detailed case study of autonomous vehicles for enhancing the mobility of disabled and older adults is presented.
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This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.NPS Report Number
SYM-AM-21-066Collections
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