Managing Escalation and Limiting War in a Conflict in the Western Pacific
Abstract
Objective: China is modernizing, expanding, and improving its conventional weapons. At the
same time, U.S. military capabilities in the region are under considerable pressure
for a number of reasons, including budget cuts and competing demands for
resources. As China continues to modernize its arsenal, including its nuclear
weapons, the question of how the United States could favorably manage escalation
in a conflict with China while achieving its own political objectives is becoming
increasingly important. This project will examine the implications of China’s
growing military power as it pertains to the U.S. ability to effectively deter conflict
or, if need be, prevail in a manner that controls escalation. By analyzing the
dynamics of limited war as applied to the U.S.-Chinese context and identifying
weaknesses in U.S. strategy and posture, the study will provide new knowledge to
analysts, academics, U.S. officials, and others who discuss, monitor, and contribute
to U.S. policy on these matters.
Description
Performer: Center for a New American Security
Project Lead: Elbridge Colby
Project Cost: $149,000
FY15-16
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