Democratization and Civil War
Abstract
This paper examines the impact of civil war on democratization, particularly
focussing on whether civil war provides an opportunity for institutional reform. We
investigate the impact of war termination in general, along with prolonged violence,
rebel victory, and international intervention on democratization. Using an
unbalanced panel data set of 96 countries covering a 34-year period, our analysis
suggests that civil war lowers democratization in the succeeding period. Our
findings also suggest that United Nations intervention increases democratization, as
do wars ending in stalemates. However, wars ending in rebel victories seem to
reduce democratization. These findings appear robust to conditioning, different
instrument sets, modelling techniques, and the measurement of democracy.
Description
Final Manuscript copy.
The article of record as published may be located at http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2014.1000529
Dataset is included.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.Collections
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